Quote:
Originally Posted by MrPrena
People said I was on crackpipe (especially WABs people) when I said Twitter is going to 19 when it was 35/sr. Shit, it went lower.
I think we are turning ugly times ugly. Historically it is no brainier on election year. (although some idiots here thinks they are econ professor for predicting this obvious shit)Currently shopping for ultra/Ultra pro short index funds.
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I thought it was generally supposed to be a down year in an election year also but based just on the "election year", isn't this saying the opposite?
http://abcnews.go.com/Business/story?id=6185252&page=1
Quote:
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•In "Presidential Cycle," Ned Davis Research notes the S&P 500 posted its weakest returns in the first year of the four-year election cycle. Since 1900, stocks have gained just 3.4% on average in the post-election year, compared with gains of 4.0% in the midterm year, 11.3% in the pre-election year and 9.5% in an election year.
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Or this -
http://moneyover55.about.com/od/howt...tionmarket.htm
Quote:
Table Below Shows Market Returns for Each Election Year Since 1928
Data below is from Dimensional Funds Matrix Book.
S&P 500 Stock Market Returns
During Election Years
Year Return Candidates
1928 43.6%---Hoover vs. Smith
1932 -8.2%---Roosevelt vs. Hoover
1936 33.9%---Roosevelt vs. Landon
1940 -9.8%----Roosevelt vs. Willkie
1944 19.7%----Roosevelt vs. Dewey
1948 5.5%----Truman vs. Dewey
1952 18.4%----Eisenhower vs. Stevenson
1956 6.6%----Eisenhower vs. Stevenson
1960 .50%----Kennedy vs. Nixon
1964 16.5%----Johnson vs. Goldwater
1968 11.1%----Nixon vs. Humphrey
1972 19.0%----Nixon vs. McGovern
1976 23.8%----Carter vs. Ford
1980 32.4%----Reagan vs. Carter
1984 6.3%-----Reagan vs. Mondale
1988 16.8%----Bush vs. Dukakis
1992 7.6%-----Clinton vs. Bush
1996 23%-----Clinton vs. Dole
2000 -9.1%---Bush vs. Gore
2004 10.9%----Bush vs. Kerry
2008 -37%----Obama vs. McCain
2012 16%----Obama vs. Romney
2016 ? ?
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