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Originally Posted by Germanauto
They'll keep dying off as EVs rise in popularity. There will always be a small niche where it will be available. I think cars like the Miata, Mustang, and 911 will hold onto it. Maybe even the Wrangler and Bronco.
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Those are exactly the five "enthusiast" vehicles I have in mind when thinking about the wind down as well. I think we might also see some affordable FWD Honda and Subaru (as someone mentions above) - and I'd add Kia - sedans/hatchbacks hold on until near the end as well.
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BMW seems to be the last one of the German big 3 holding out with a stick shift in the M2 and upcoming M3, but I'm not sure how long that will last.
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It has been suggested to me that once the upcoming G87 M2 exits near the end of this decade, that's it. This timeline makes sense since essentially all ICE vehicles will be MHEV or PHEV by that time with most of them integrating the motor into the engine/transmission, and it's not likely that there will be a business case for MT versions of this type of setup.